Welcome to my website. I am a PhD candidate at EPFL (Swiss Finance Institute).
I am on the finance job market during the 2025-26 academic year.
My main research interests are venture capital, private equity, and applied machine learning.
Broadly, I am interested in studying:
The functioning of alternative markets and startup financing mechanisms, such as private secondary markets and crowdfunding platforms.
Machine learning applications to predict investment returns and perform causal inference.
The sources of skill and performance among venture capital investors.
Investment strategies in private markets.
Email: luiz.bissoto@epfl.ch
Phone: +41 (0) 797 186 572
Job Market Paper
Private Listings and Their Consequences for Startups: Evidence from Private Secondary Markets
Why do startups increasingly choose to trade on private secondary markets (PSMs) instead of remaining fully private or going public? I examine the trade-offs associated with this choice and the characteristics of startups trading on these markets. Exploiting a recent regulatory change that expanded investor access to PSMs and novel data on startup share prices, I show that PSM-listed startups face substantially higher fundraising uncertainty and typically experience declining share prices once listed. My results suggest a risk-return trade-off: management accepts the increased firm risk in exchange for potentially larger share price appreciation upon successful fundraising and related positive developments.
Presentations: FMA Annual Meeting (Doctoral Student Consortium and Special PhD Paper Presentation) (2025), UZH Rising Scholar Conference in Finance (2025), Dauphine Finance PhD Workshop (2025), SFI Research Days (2025), EPFL-UNIL PhD Workshop (2024, 2025)
Working Papers
Venture Selection Via Machine Learning
Standard machine learning algorithms can significantly improve the selection of successful startups. This improvement does not come at the expense of missing out on highly successful startups, and is robust to forward-looking and selection bias. I provide evidence that "AI-empowered" firms actively use these technologies, contributing to a decline in predictability and rationalizing the existence of these potential gains.
Presentations: EPFL-UNIL PhD Workshop (2024), SFI Research Days (2024), 9th Annual Cambridge Conference on Alternative Finance (2024), World Finance Conference (2024)
The Role of Institutional Venture Capital Firms in Startup Success
Institutional Venture Capital (IVC) Firms specifically are responsible for most of the successful outcomes in the U.S. VC market, with a distinct (separable) and incremental (positive) effect toward success.
Presentations: EPFL-UNIL PhD Workshop (2023), Junior Academics Research Seminars (JARS) (2024)